All-Time Record: 695-640-172
Last Two Seasons: 431-391-105 (+18.3 units)
This Season: 220-221-57 (+1.3 Units)
UCL Quarters + Europa League Semis: 4-2 (+3.6 Units)
My two unit increase on Bayern and my Sevilla pick to advance help bring my units back to good standing. With only a few matches left in my season, let’s look to finish strong with the Champions League Semifinals, Final and the Europa League Final. For accounting purposes:
What a fantastic and shocking semifinal group we have here with Bayern, Lyon, RB Leipzig and PSG. Let’s see what bets I like for each semifinal.
Tuesday, August 18th
PSG v. RB Leipzig – PSG are handed their best chance at a Champions League Final since the mid 90’s but RB Leipzig aren’t a team that you want to be matched up against. Many doubted them going into Atletico because they were without Timo Werner, the striker who provided most of the goals that got them there until his move to Chelsea. Leipzig are well-coached and I think with Sabitzer and Olmo leading the line alongside Poulsen, I don’t see them getting shut out here. I don’t feel comfortable committing to a team advancing because I think this will be tight, so I’m going to take Leipzig’s team total as well as their spread even with its juice. RB Leipzig Team Total Over 1 Goal (-120) and RB Leipzig +1 (-150).
Wednesday, August 19th
Bayern Munich v. Lyon – There’s no secret who is the favorite to not only make the Final but win the whole thing. Bayern’s 8-2 defeate of Barcelona will go down as one of the most humiliating sports losses in recent history and they didn’t even look like they played to the peak of their ability. Now although I learned first hand what this Lyon team can do to good teams, I don’t see Bayern even blinking here. Yes, the 8-2 has some weight but I think that is generally an outlier. This Bayern team has multiple players who can adapt to most positions on the field, their ability to create chances in 10 different ways is like nothing I’ve seen from a team since peak Barca, and they have several players who can change the game in the blink of an eye (Lewandowski, Muller, Davies, Kimmich to name a few). I can’t fade Bayern here and even if this doesn’t hit, I think it’s the smartest and safest bet to make. Bayern Munich -2 (+105).
Europa League Final Special Pick
Sevilla Wins Europa League (+125).
Nico rants about City, Pep Guardiola and the entitlement of City fans – 0:00-16:50, breaking down (or trying to at least) Bayern’s humiliation of Barca – 16:50-27:54, PSG’s miraculous comeback against Atalanta – 27:54-33:45, Tyler Adams sends Leipzig to the semis – 33:45 -37:30. our Semifinal predictions – 37:30 – 40:00 and our Europa League Recap/Predictions 40:00-44:55. Come kick it with us…
Stay kickin’ it. Peace.