Matchday 8 Preview

I’ll get into this Sunday’s highly anticipated City/Liverpool match in a bit but first let’s get into the matches and stories from Tuesday and Wednesday. We had yet another wildly entertaining Champions League midweek slate with lot’s to talk about. Let’s get down to the nitty gritty.

Outside the 18

Messi – Well folks he’s back. Lionel Messi traveled to storied Wembley and scored 2 goals, set up the other 2 Barca goals, hit the post twice, had 6 shots (4 on goal, other two hit the post) and made the Spurs defense look like a high school JV team. Barcelona went on to win 4-2 creating some space in Group B along with Inter who both are on 6 points.

Young Americans – 20-year-old American Weston McKennie scored the game-winning goal in the dying minutes for Schalke in their 1-0 win vs Lokomotiv Moscow in their Champions League match. Meanwhile in the bad news portion of this piece, Christian Pulisic tore his calf and it doesn’t seem that he will be joining the USMNT next week for their friendlies against Colombia and Peru.

Big Results – Napoli won at home to Liverpool, City squeaked one out at Hoffenheim, Bayern drew at home to Ajax in a shocker, Real Madrid lost to CSKA Moscow 1-0 in Russia in another shocker and Manchester United drew at home to Valencia.

We have one more Matchweek before we hop into the October international break so let’s make the most of it. Let’s take a gander at the record…

All-Time Record: 49-39-8 (+5.9 Units)
Matchweek 7 Record: 5-2-0 (+2.8 Units)

It’s been a great run for me in the last 3 matchweeks as I’ve gone 18-10-2 and +8.2 units. Although you never stay hot forever, I’d love to have another good week going into the break. Let’s go!!

Friday, October 5th
3:00 pm EST

West Ham @ Brighton – Two teams with complete opposite form will meet here as the Hammers have gone four unbeaten and Brighton have gone 6 without a win. For West Ham, three of those four results came against Man U (W), Chelsea (D) and Everton (W). I don’t want to stop picking West Ham yet until they return to their old crappy form. West Ham (Pick, +105).

Saturday, October 6th
10:00 am EST

Huddersfield @ Burnley – Burnley have been hot and Huddersfield couldn’t get a result if their grandmothers relied on them to. Stay hot Burnley. Burnley (-0.5, +105).

Wolves @ Crystal Palace – Although they’ve been poor this season, Crystal Palace are usually pretty tough to beat at home which always makes it hard to fade them. But they go up against a Wolves side who has begun to grow into themselves this season. Since their loss to Leicester in August, they have had 4 wins and 3 draws and have been playing top quality footy. I don’t want to stop picking them as they look like a top-7 team right now and this pickem line is too good to pass up. Wolves (Pick, -120).

Everton @ Leicester City – This one is always weird because these teams feel like they’re just as good as each other every year since Leicester won the title and I never know who to pick. Everton went through a rough spell in September but had a good home result against Fulham last time out and have drawn two of their three away matches this season. But Leicester’s form has to be recognized here too as they’ve gone three unbeaten including a penalty win at Wolves in the League Cup as well as an away win at Newcastle last weekend. I’ll take Leicester at home. Leicester City (-0.5, +115).

Cardiff City @ Tottenham – This one screams push but I love Spurs to bounce back after their loss to Barcelona at the midweek. Cardiff is much easier to defend than Messi and I expect a Kane brace (2 goals for you soccer jabronis). Tottenham (-2, +120).

Bournemouth @ Watford – Oh where, oh where have our Watford gone? They are now four straight without a win in all competitions and their injuries are starting to pile up. Yes they’ve been good at home this season but I don’t like picking them with this spread. Bournemouth usually play Watford well and are coming off of a good result against Palace on Monday. Bournemouth (+0.5, -125). 

12:30 pm EST

Newcastle United @ Manchester United – Earth to Jose Mourinho?!?! United haven’t won in their last 4 competitions and they were favored in all 4 of them. A loss here could certainly be the end of Mourinho and that’s what makes this one hard. Newcastle have been horrible this season and who knows if Mourinho’s men will even be playing for him to stay on Saturday. But I do not see them going 5 straight without a win, it’s not in the United DNA. They’ll get the win here but it won’t be pretty. Manchester United (-1, -130). 

Sunday, October 7th
7:00 am EST

Arsenal @ Fulham – Arsenal have had 5 straight wins in the league and 8 straight overall. They’ve sneakily been really impressive this season and Emery’s side are starting to find a groove. He’s getting the most out of his youngsters and the midfield is beginning to gel with Guendouzi and Torreira finally getting comfortable. My only worry is the quick turnaround from their match on Thursday in Azerbaijan, but they sat several key players so they should be okay. I like Arsenal in this one even if it has the likelihood of a push. Arsenal (-1, +110).

9:15 am EST

Chelsea @ Southampton – Southampton are 0-2-1 at home this season with only 1 clean sheet while Chelsea are 2-1-0 with their only draw being at West Ham in the tough London Derby. Another pushable line here and although I hate taking so many favorites, I can’t fade Chelsea with only a point spread. Chelsea (-1, +105). 

11:30 am EST

Manchester City @ Liverpool – Here we go!! This big one at Anfield may be the game of the season as City and Liverpool will square off for first place. Last season these two played a cracker at Anfield as Liverpool broke City’s unbeaten record in a 4-3 thriller. My gut instinct would be to pick Liverpool here as they’re at Anfield and City have had some shaky performances lately even though they’ve only lost one of their last 12. But Liverpool just played a stinker at Napoli and had back-to-back matches against Chelsea before that without a win. This match will mark the end of a lengthy streak of playing 6 top-15 teams in 19 days for Liverpool and although City has played the same amount of matches in that span, they’ve won all but 1 and haven’t played anyone too taxing. I like City on the pickem line here in this decisive match. Manchester City (Pick, +105).

That’s all for this weekend’s edition of my Premier League betting preview. Follow me on Twitter if you dare and follow our new Facebook page!!

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Nico

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