Champions League Matchweek 3

Weekend’s record: 5-7-4, 1-0
Total record: 66-64-12, 13-12

Not happy about 3 losing batches of picks in a row, but I’m still positive all time and I’m happy I called the Crystal Palace and Bournemouth. Things are looking up and I had two last-minute losses so I’m not disappointed but I may just lower the amount of picks I have and choose around 5 per weekend. Therefore, letting me choose ones I feel most comfortable about instead of picking all Premier League matches.

Soooo I’m going to pick the matches I feel most comfortable about on Tuesday and Wednesday, lowering my total picks and hopefully making my win % a little higher. But first, let’s quickly recap the weekend in my Quick Hits. Let’s hit it…

Quick Hits From the Weekend
Manchester United and Liverpool played to a very, very, very boring 0-0 draw at Anfield which people should’ve seen coming knowing Jose Mourinho’s strategy in big away games (hence my PICK decision). Chelsea lost to Crystal Palace who finally scored their first goals in the league (took them 8 games), and got their first win in a shocking 2-1 upset (shoutout Crystal Palace +1½). Manchester City absolutely DESTROYED Stoke City 7-2 and cemented their place at the top of the table (breaking a 120-year-old record for most goals in 8 matches (29!!)). Tottenham finally got their first win at Wembley Stadium against Bournemouth, but only by the score of 1-0.

Top 6:
Man City (22)
Man U (20)
Tottenham (17)
Watford (15)
Chelsea (13)
Arsenal, Burnley, Liverpool (13)

Champions League Matchweek 3

Tuesday:

Tottenham @ Real Madrid 2:45 pm ET

Heyyoooo sup bitches. We’ve got a prime showdown between two clubs who have shaky starts to their league seasons. Both clubs are tied at the top of the Group with 6 points through 2 matches, with Madrid above on goal differential. In 4 matches against Real Madrid in European competition, Spurs have not scored a goal and Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 29 Champions League Group Stage matches. To add to that, Real have only not scored once in their last 52 Champions League matches and they have won 21 of their last 23 matches at home in the group stage. Safe to say Real have this one covered, BUT they won’t cover the 1½ spread as Tottenham will gameplan well and hold it to a one-score game in Madrid. Tottenham +1½.

Napoli @ Manchester City 2:45 pm ET

Oh what’s this? ANOTHER outstanding game? You betcha. Napoli, my sleeper pick to make a run in this year’s Champions League campaign, travel to Manchester to take on a RED HOT Man City club. With 29 goals in 8 league games, City have broken a 123-year-old record for most goals in a club’s first 8 matches in England. Although Napoli boasts an outstanding attack as well, City are playing with LOADS of confidence and are at home. Manchester City -1…. if you want to be safe, take (-180).

Other Tuesday Picks:
Besiktas @ Monaco (-155)
Porto (+½) 
@ RB Leipzig

Wednesday:

Roma @ Chelsea 2:45 pm ET

Roma head to London coming off of a crushing home loss to Napoli and Chelsea are coming off of a shocking 2-1 loss to Crystal Palace. Chelsea are dealing with injuries across the board including Kante, Moses and Morata (3 starters). My worry with Chelsea as I mentioned in my season preview blog was their depth and it was exposed over the weekend at Crystal Palace. Roma will travel well with a slightly healthier squad and should cover the spread in this one. Roma +1.

Other Wednesday Picks:
FC Basel (+½) 
@ CSKA Moscow
Olympiakos @ Barcelona (-3)

Parlay:
Liverpool (-645), Atletico Madrid (-520), Barca (-1500), Bayern (-1100), PSG (-702) = (-120)

Big Outcome Parlay (Fuck it right?):
Man City (-1), FC Porto (+½), Man U (-½) = (+520)

That’s all for this Champions League slate. Three awesome games to get you through the school/work day tomorrow and Wednesday. I promise a non-negative week or else I’ll have to something TBD and decided by my good friend (and sadly a Michigan fan… Go State) Andrew Lehr. But until then,

Stay Kickin’ it.
Twitter: @nicodegallo

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Nico

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